Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.449975 2.827455 3.249955 3.759027 4.357295 5.039887 5.880286
2025-03-30 1.818669 2.297554 2.889499 3.679889 4.714957 6.034371 7.859641
2025-04-06 1.531582 2.055137 2.746952 3.737859 5.136809 7.065249 9.966500
2025-04-13 1.291508 1.816504 2.547533 3.654659 5.315054 7.754469 11.687788
2025-04-20 1.179825 1.730439 2.533933 3.813731 5.841971 9.002289 14.438965
2025-04-27 1.051257 1.597625 2.427392 3.807546 6.101991 9.865891 16.723053
2025-05-04 0.975843 1.533128 2.411807 3.934504 6.584166 11.151586 19.950191
2025-05-11 0.890876 1.441283 2.338418 3.951039 6.874731 12.145983 22.832662
2025-05-18 0.817865 1.359359 2.269452 3.961981 7.150720 13.148582 25.914397
2025-05-25 0.734661 1.250216 2.140333 3.846153 7.171427 13.667468 28.113465
2025-06-01 0.688217 1.199652 2.107242 3.901002 7.523117 14.883274 32.021408
2025-06-08 0.650904 1.161056 2.090611 3.983413 7.938902 16.292748 36.649507
2025-06-15 0.600104 1.098651 2.034657 4.006491 8.292431 17.756740 42.074504
2025-06-22 0.541648 1.016535 1.934014 3.931105 8.440583 18.841452 46.999023
2025-06-29 0.505439 0.972638 1.901831 3.993024 8.903341 20.750042 54.620438
2025-07-06 0.459099 0.902740 1.807484 3.903576 8.996755 21.781817 60.153592
2025-07-13 0.441135 0.888646 1.827364 4.074644 9.751932 24.665808 72.012823
2025-07-20 0.410275 0.843670 1.774922 4.067991 10.059156 26.432684 81.044638
2025-07-27 0.393292 0.826530 1.781493 4.204560 10.767823 29.487455 95.376095
2025-08-03 0.369442 0.791454 1.742903 4.222350 11.158559 31.717992 107.712033
2025-08-10 0.347456 0.758137 1.704285 4.234121 11.535933 34.006258 121.159145
2025-08-17 0.319323 0.707664 1.618932 4.109517 11.493188 34.962379 129.879754
2025-08-24 0.304264 0.686362 1.602032 4.168519 12.016312 37.916165 147.928678